I decided at the last minute to shoot over to Biloxi and play today in the WSOP Circuit Main Event. This is a nice tournament with a $1675 buyin, 20K in chips and 30-minute levels. Winners from Friday and Saturday advance to Sunday with the final table to be held Monday. With an excellent structure, I felt it should favor my style of play. I buckled in, ready for a long session of poker, but it was not to be.
In level 3, the blinds were 75/150 and I had a little more than an 18K chip stack. Four players limped for 150 to the small blind who completed. I looked at my hole cards in the big blind to see: ♥Q ♦Q. What would you do?
I didn't want to play a big pot out of position, but with a hand this good, I felt I had to raise to either win it right there or at least thin the field. There was 900 in the pot, counting my blind. I fired out 2050. What do you think of this bet size?
The UTG player called as did the next player to act. The other three folded, and there was 6900 in the pot. The flop was low cards with two clubs. What would you bet? I fired out 6050. That is perhaps an overbet, but I was ready to win it right there. The guy on my left thought for a while and called and the third player folded.
The turn-card was another brick. I had 8800 left and went all in. There was now 19,000 in the pot and the villain had me covered, but just barely. He thought forever and called. We showed our cards and he had: ♣A ♣J. The river was a club and I was walking to the rail.
With one card to come, he had 12 outs (any club or an ace), so he was a 25% favorite to win the hand. It cost him 8800 to win the 27,800 that was already out there, so mathematically he (EDIT) it was a so-so call and got lucky. Sometimes, you have to look at more than the math. It's a tournament, so what would happen if he folded? If your stack would be crippled, then he should call and hope for the best. But here, he would still have around 60 big blinds playing in a slow structure, so again that argues for fold. If instead of calling my bet on the flop, he went all in, I could see that. The way he played it was rather poorly, but he has chips and I'm blogging.
There's another ring event Sunday. I may enter, or I may watch football. We'll see how I feel in the morning.
Photos taken with my point-and-shoot.