Sunday, November 6, 2011

What are the odds?


Above: The Magnolia State (Fall Classic) Poker Tournament is being held for the next 10 days at the Horseshoe Casino in Robinsonville (Tunica) MS.

The starting stack in the tournament I played yesterday was 15,000. I stayed at that level forever, it seemed -- I was keeping up with the blinds and antes, but that was about it.

When the blinds were 800/1600 with an ante I can't remember, I picked up A A and raised to 4100. Everyone folded and I showed. "Too bad, no action," "Unlucky," etc. were the comments.

On the very next hand, I again picked up A A. Not only two aces but the same two suits!

What are the odds of this. We all know that once out of 220 deals, you might get A-A, but I mean of the same suit? I'm bet that the Poker Grump could figure it out. Does anyone know?

What happened on the deal? Another short stack (similar to mine) re-raised all in with 9-9. I called, of course, and my hand held, putting me back in the game. Nothing jump-starts a blah game like pocket aces.

Photo taken earlier with my P&S.

5 comments:

  1. Sparky and I were sure those lessons from VJ would work.

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  2. Glad they held. Good luck going forward if you are playing in more

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  3. 52 (your odds of getting exactly the same first card)

    x

    51 (your odds of getting exactly the same second card)

    That'll happen once every 2,652 hands.

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  4. @ Peja Stojakovic: Thanks for your reply.

    The first card can be either the ace of spades or the ace of hearts so that's 2 out of 52. The second card has to be 1 (the other ace) out of 51. I think that makes it 26 times 51.

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