Sunday, November 6, 2011

What are the odds?

Above: The Magnolia State (Fall Classic) Poker Tournament is being held for the next 10 days at the Horseshoe Casino in Robinsonville (Tunica) MS.

The starting stack in the tournament I played yesterday was 15,000. I stayed at that level forever, it seemed -- I was keeping up with the blinds and antes, but that was about it.

When the blinds were 800/1600 with an ante I can't remember, I picked up A A and raised to 4100. Everyone folded and I showed. "Too bad, no action," "Unlucky," etc. were the comments.

On the very next hand, I again picked up A A. Not only two aces but the same two suits!

What are the odds of this. We all know that once out of 220 deals, you might get A-A, but I mean of the same suit? I'm bet that the Poker Grump could figure it out. Does anyone know?

What happened on the deal? Another short stack (similar to mine) re-raised all in with 9-9. I called, of course, and my hand held, putting me back in the game. Nothing jump-starts a blah game like pocket aces.

Photo taken earlier with my P&S.


  1. Sparky and I were sure those lessons from VJ would work.

  2. Glad they held. Good luck going forward if you are playing in more

  3. 52 (your odds of getting exactly the same first card)


    51 (your odds of getting exactly the same second card)

    That'll happen once every 2,652 hands.

  4. @ Peja Stojakovic: Thanks for your reply.

    The first card can be either the ace of spades or the ace of hearts so that's 2 out of 52. The second card has to be 1 (the other ace) out of 51. I think that makes it 26 times 51.