"At 200/400/50, I defended my big blind to the LAG on the button. I knew he was stealing, so I just called his 950 with A-10 suited."This was a text message from blogger Sherry (Jusdealem). She had played in the satellite Friday night to the main event of the Magnolia Mini poker tournament.
There were 20 players left and six would get seats. I don't know the stack sizes, but she was third in chips at her table. The flop was A-9-6 and Sherry led out for 1500, and the villain called. Sherry bet 2700 on the turn with the board reading: A-9-6-x.
The villain shoved, and our hero called. The villain turned over 9-5 for middle pair. The river was a 5 giving him two pair.
Me: "Sounds like he was all in with five outs which is excellent for you."
Sherry: "I've been getting rivered relentlessly, and I think if I will up my preflop agression, I can avoid some of these unlucky rivers. So frustrating."
Sherry: "I'm pretty sure he thought he could outplay me post-flop. He didn't, he just got lucky."
Forget the unfortunate outcome - this isn't a bad beat story disguised as a "How do you play this hand." Was she just unlucky or did she create some of her bad luck by not being more agressive? Does the fact that it's a satellite make any difference?